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This paper intends to present the authors' analysis of the relationship between the GDP growth and carbon emission in China today with the correlative analytical method(R2=0.958 1).The authors' conclusion is that the present economic development pattern mainly dependent on the investment and structural expansion of secondary industry has strong impact on the emission increase of greenhouse gas.The investment rate of China exceeds 35%-40% of GDP during the period of 1980 to 2003,which is higher than other countries.As a result,China has brought about tremendous development of its heavy industry with ever increasing consumption of energy resources.Such a consequence,on the one hand,has led to higher proportion of secondary industry to the whole macro-economy(over 50%).On the other hand,its energy consumption has to be dependent heavily on coal(over 60%),which emits large amounts of gases than oil or natural gas.Thus,it will be inevitable to consume more energy and increase the emission of greenhouse gases in future.However,under the background of globalization,our economic growth should depend more on technological improvement,scientific and institutional innovation.With the high efficient use of renewable energy and environment-friendly technology,China can and is sure to make contributions to global efforts to prevent global warming.Therefore,it can be predicted that the carbon emission intensity will gradually slow down with the economic development and the adjustment of its industrial structural system.
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Basic Information:
China Classification Code:F205
Citation Information:
[1]WANG Zhong-ying 1,2,WANG Li-mao1(1 Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101,China,2 Graduate School of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100039,China).Economic growth and its effects on carbon emission in China[J].Journal of Safety and Environment,2006(05):88-91.
Fund Information:
中国科学院知识创新工程重大项目(KZCX1-SW-01-18);; 国家自然科学基金项目(70473103)
2006-10-25
2006-10-25